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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventude Win

49%

Juventude

2.03

26%

Draw

3.92

25%

Fortaleza EC

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Juventude xG

Total xG

2.57

1.03

Fortaleza EC xG

49%
26%
25%
JuventudeDrawFortaleza EC

2.03

49%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

36%

Juventude

2.79

21%

Fortaleza EC

4.69

Win to Nil

18%

Juventude

5.66

5%

Fortaleza EC

18.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.8 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.8 12.1 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.4 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.7 4.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.545
λ Away (xG) 1.027
Total xG 2.572
League avg home goals 1.395
League avg away goals 1.025
Juventude attack strength 0.860
Juventude defence strength 1.098
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.912
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.288
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63