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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

24%

Juventude

4.21

33%

Draw

3.06

44%

Botafogo

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

18.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.8%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.71

Juventude xG

Total xG

1.78

1.07

Botafogo xG

24%
33%
44%
JuventudeDrawBotafogo

4.21

24%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.97

66%

BTTS No

1.51

Clean Sheet

34%

Juventude

2.92

49%

Botafogo

2.03

Win to Nil

8%

Juventude

12.31

21%

Botafogo

4.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.8 18.1 9.7 3.5 0.9 0.2
1 11.9 12.8 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 4.2 4.5 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
3 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.709
λ Away (xG) 1.073
Total xG 1.782
League avg home goals 1.285
League avg away goals 1.118
Juventude attack strength 0.977
Juventude defence strength 0.844
Botafogo attack strength 1.138
Botafogo defence strength 0.565
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 56