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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 12 Jul 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Internacional Win

44%

Internacional

2.28

31%

Draw

3.19

25%

Vitoria

4.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Internacional xG

Total xG

2.15

0.88

Vitoria xG

44%
31%
25%
InternacionalDrawVitoria

2.28

44%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

4.04

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

41%

Internacional

2.42

28%

Vitoria

3.53

Win to Nil

18%

Internacional

5.52

7%

Vitoria

14.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 10.3 4.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 14.8 13.0 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.2 3.6 1.1 0.2
3 3.9 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.261
λ Away (xG) 0.884
Total xG 2.145
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 0.923
Internacional attack strength 1.013
Internacional defence strength 1.036
Vitoria attack strength 0.924
Vitoria defence strength 0.978
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50