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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Internacional Win

57%

Internacional

1.75

24%

Draw

4.14

19%

Sport Recife

5.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Internacional xG

Total xG

2.51

0.84

Sport Recife xG

57%
24%
19%
InternacionalDrawSport Recife

1.75

57%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

5.34

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

43%

Internacional

2.32

19%

Sport Recife

5.32

Win to Nil

25%

Internacional

4.07

4%

Sport Recife

28.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 13.5 11.4 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.5 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.3 5.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.672
λ Away (xG) 0.842
Total xG 2.514
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 1.020
Internacional attack strength 1.003
Internacional defence strength 1.109
Sport Recife attack strength 0.744
Sport Recife defence strength 1.153
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 27