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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 4 Aug 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Internacional Win

43%

Internacional

2.30

32%

Draw

3.16

25%

Sao Paulo

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Internacional xG

Total xG

2.00

0.82

Sao Paulo xG

43%
32%
25%
InternacionalDrawSao Paulo

2.30

43%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.53

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

44%

Internacional

2.27

31%

Sao Paulo

3.25

Win to Nil

19%

Internacional

5.23

8%

Sao Paulo

13.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 11.1 4.6 1.2 0.3
1 16.0 13.1 5.4 1.5 0.3
2 9.4 7.7 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 3.7 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.178
λ Away (xG) 0.821
Total xG 1.999
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 0.940
Internacional attack strength 0.938
Internacional defence strength 0.867
Sao Paulo attack strength 1.007
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.988
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 55