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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Thu 20 Nov 2025

00:30

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gremio Win

42%

Gremio

2.40

26%

Draw

3.78

32%

Vasco DA Gama

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Gremio xG

Total xG

2.56

1.18

Vasco DA Gama xG

42%
26%
32%
GremioDrawVasco DA Gama

2.40

42%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

31%

Gremio

3.24

25%

Vasco DA Gama

3.99

Win to Nil

13%

Gremio

7.77

8%

Vasco DA Gama

12.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.1 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.7 12.6 7.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 8.7 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.4 4.0 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.383
λ Away (xG) 1.175
Total xG 2.558
League avg home goals 1.388
League avg away goals 0.997
Gremio attack strength 0.956
Gremio defence strength 0.931
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.266
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71