🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Gremio Win
35%
2.84
31%
3.18
33%
3.00
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
14.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
14.1%
Home win
0 – 1
13.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.99
Gremio xG
Total xG
1.96
0.96
Sao Paulo xG
GremioDrawSao Paulo
2.84
35%
Home win
3.18
31%
Draw
3.00
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.57
61%
BTTS No
1.64
Clean Sheet
38%
2.61
37%
2.70
Win to Nil
13%
7.42
12%
8.10
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.2 | 13.6 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.1 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.995
λ Away (xG)
0.960
Total xG
1.955
League avg home goals
1.441
League avg away goals
1.036
Gremio attack strength
0.800
Gremio defence strength
0.956
Sao Paulo attack strength
0.969
Sao Paulo defence strength
0.863
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 65