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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Wed 26 Nov 2025

00:30

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gremio Win

42%

Gremio

2.37

28%

Draw

3.52

29%

Palmeiras

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Gremio xG

Total xG

2.25

0.99

Palmeiras xG

42%
28%
29%
GremioDrawPalmeiras

2.37

42%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

37%

Gremio

2.70

29%

Palmeiras

3.50

Win to Nil

16%

Gremio

6.41

8%

Palmeiras

11.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 10.5 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 13.2 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 8.3 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.254
λ Away (xG) 0.995
Total xG 2.249
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 1.014
Gremio attack strength 0.964
Gremio defence strength 0.828
Palmeiras attack strength 1.186
Palmeiras defence strength 0.908
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73