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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

30%

Gremio

3.30

33%

Draw

3.04

37%

Mirassol

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.6%

Away win

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Gremio xG

Total xG

1.83

0.97

Mirassol xG

30%
33%
37%
GremioDrawMirassol

3.30

30%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.78

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

38%

Gremio

2.65

43%

Mirassol

2.35

Win to Nil

11%

Gremio

8.75

16%

Mirassol

6.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.0 15.6 7.6 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.7 13.4 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 5.9 5.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.855
λ Away (xG) 0.975
Total xG 1.830
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.089
Gremio attack strength 0.745
Gremio defence strength 0.908
Mirassol attack strength 0.986
Mirassol defence strength 0.841
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 20