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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gremio Win

60%

Gremio

1.66

25%

Draw

4.06

15%

Juventude

6.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Gremio xG

Total xG

2.26

0.65

Juventude xG

60%
25%
15%
GremioDrawJuventude

1.66

60%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

6.68

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.61

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

52%

Gremio

1.92

20%

Juventude

4.97

Win to Nil

31%

Gremio

3.18

3%

Juventude

33.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 6.8 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 16.8 11.0 3.6 0.8 0.1
2 13.5 8.8 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 7.2 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 0.9 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.604
λ Away (xG) 0.653
Total xG 2.257
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 0.964
Gremio attack strength 0.879
Gremio defence strength 0.907
Juventude attack strength 0.747
Juventude defence strength 1.274
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67