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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Gremio Win
54%
1.85
27%
3.69
19%
5.31
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
2 – 0
11.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.45
Gremio xG
Total xG
2.18
0.73
Fortaleza EC xG
GremioDrawFortaleza EC
1.85
54%
Home win
3.69
27%
Draw
5.31
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.51
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
48%
2.08
24%
4.25
Win to Nil
26%
3.85
4%
22.59
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.3 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.3 | 12.0 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.8 | 8.7 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.448
λ Away (xG)
0.734
Total xG
2.182
League avg home goals
1.264
League avg away goals
0.930
Gremio attack strength
0.910
Gremio defence strength
0.990
Fortaleza EC attack strength
0.797
Fortaleza EC defence strength
1.259
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
53 / 53