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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Wed 3 Dec 2025

00:30

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gremio Win

54%

Gremio

1.87

27%

Draw

3.70

19%

Fluminense

5.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Gremio xG

Total xG

2.18

0.74

Fluminense xG

54%
27%
19%
GremioDrawFluminense

1.87

54%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

5.15

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

48%

Gremio

2.10

24%

Fluminense

4.20

Win to Nil

25%

Gremio

3.93

5%

Fluminense

21.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 8.4 3.1 0.8 0.1
1 16.2 12.1 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 11.6 8.7 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 5.6 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.434
λ Away (xG) 0.744
Total xG 2.178
League avg home goals 1.485
League avg away goals 1.002
Gremio attack strength 1.033
Gremio defence strength 0.910
Fluminense attack strength 0.816
Fluminense defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74