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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Wed 5 Nov 2025

23:00

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

32%

Gremio

3.10

35%

Draw

2.90

33%

Cruzeiro

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

19.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.9%

Away win

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Gremio xG

Total xG

1.66

0.84

Cruzeiro xG

32%
35%
33%
GremioDrawCruzeiro

3.10

32%

Home win

2.90

35%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

49%

Over 1.5

2.04

51%

Under 1.5

1.96

23%

Over 2.5

4.35

77%

Under 2.5

1.30

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

32%

BTTS Yes

3.14

68%

BTTS No

1.47

Clean Sheet

43%

Gremio

2.31

44%

Cruzeiro

2.28

Win to Nil

14%

Gremio

7.16

15%

Cruzeiro

6.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.0 15.9 6.7 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 15.6 13.1 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 6.4 5.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
3 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.823
λ Away (xG) 0.838
Total xG 1.661
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 0.943
Gremio attack strength 0.986
Gremio defence strength 0.940
Cruzeiro attack strength 0.946
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.594
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69