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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Fri 13 Jun 2025

00:00

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gremio Win

49%

Gremio

2.05

31%

Draw

3.24

20%

Corinthians

4.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.9%

Draw

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Gremio xG

Total xG

2.04

0.74

Corinthians xG

49%
31%
20%
GremioDrawCorinthians

2.05

49%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

4.93

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

48%

Gremio

2.10

27%

Corinthians

3.68

Win to Nil

23%

Gremio

4.30

6%

Corinthians

18.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 9.6 3.6 0.9 0.2
1 16.8 12.5 4.6 1.2 0.2
2 11.0 8.1 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 4.8 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.302
λ Away (xG) 0.743
Total xG 2.045
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 0.909
Gremio attack strength 0.933
Gremio defence strength 0.958
Corinthians attack strength 0.853
Corinthians defence strength 1.096
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49