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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Wed 24 Sep 2025

23:30

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

19%

Gremio

5.31

32%

Draw

3.17

50%

Botafogo

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

20.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

17.5%

Draw

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.59

Gremio xG

Total xG

1.74

1.15

Botafogo xG

19%
32%
50%
GremioDrawBotafogo

5.31

19%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

2.02

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

52%

Over 1.5

1.92

48%

Under 1.5

2.08

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

30%

BTTS Yes

3.28

70%

BTTS No

1.44

Clean Sheet

32%

Gremio

3.17

55%

Botafogo

1.80

Win to Nil

6%

Gremio

16.84

28%

Botafogo

3.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.5 20.2 11.7 4.5 1.3 0.3
1 10.3 11.9 6.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 3.0 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.589
λ Away (xG) 1.154
Total xG 1.743
League avg home goals 1.354
League avg away goals 1.088
Gremio attack strength 0.687
Gremio defence strength 0.899
Botafogo attack strength 1.180
Botafogo defence strength 0.633
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61