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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

15:00

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gremio Win

41%

Gremio

2.42

33%

Draw

3.04

26%

Bahia

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Gremio xG

Total xG

2.23

0.96

Bahia xG

41%
33%
26%
GremioDrawBahia

2.42

41%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

38%

Gremio

2.60

28%

Bahia

3.55

Win to Nil

16%

Gremio

6.31

7%

Bahia

13.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 10.3 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.7 13.1 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.3 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.7 3.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.268
λ Away (xG) 0.957
Total xG 2.225
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 0.835
Gremio attack strength 0.885
Gremio defence strength 1.130
Bahia attack strength 1.014
Bahia defence strength 1.042
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47