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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Thu 16 Oct 2025

01:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

30%

Fortaleza EC

3.37

25%

Draw

4.04

46%

Vasco DA Gama

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.82

1.59

Vasco DA Gama xG

30%
25%
46%
Fortaleza ECDrawVasco DA Gama

3.37

30%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

20%

Fortaleza EC

4.89

29%

Vasco DA Gama

3.42

Win to Nil

6%

Fortaleza EC

16.50

13%

Vasco DA Gama

7.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 9.5 7.5 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 7.4 11.7 9.3 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.5 7.2 5.7 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.9 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.231
λ Away (xG) 1.587
Total xG 2.818
League avg home goals 1.433
League avg away goals 1.033
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.785
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.191
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.290
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.094
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65