Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

49%

Fortaleza EC

2.02

26%

Draw

3.78

24%

Sport Recife

4.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.40

0.94

Sport Recife xG

49%
26%
24%
Fortaleza ECDrawSport Recife

2.02

49%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

4.15

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

39%

Fortaleza EC

2.55

23%

Sport Recife

4.33

Win to Nil

19%

Fortaleza EC

5.16

6%

Sport Recife

17.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 8.5 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.3 12.4 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.1 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.7 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.466
λ Away (xG) 0.937
Total xG 2.403
League avg home goals 1.369
League avg away goals 1.084
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.921
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.178
Sport Recife attack strength 0.734
Sport Recife defence strength 1.163
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 22