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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

31%

Fortaleza EC

3.25

25%

Draw

3.98

44%

Mirassol

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.84

1.57

Mirassol xG

31%
25%
44%
Fortaleza ECDrawMirassol

3.25

31%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

21%

Fortaleza EC

4.79

28%

Mirassol

3.57

Win to Nil

6%

Fortaleza EC

15.55

12%

Mirassol

8.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 9.2 7.2 3.8 1.5 0.5
1 7.4 11.7 9.1 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.7 7.4 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 2.0 3.1 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.272
λ Away (xG) 1.567
Total xG 2.839
League avg home goals 1.285
League avg away goals 1.118
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.038
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.345
Mirassol attack strength 1.042
Mirassol defence strength 0.953
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 18