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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Mon 14 Apr 2025

00:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

51%

Fortaleza EC

1.95

33%

Draw

3.04

16%

Internacional

6.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.30

0.78

Internacional xG

51%
33%
16%
Fortaleza ECDrawInternacional

1.95

51%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

6.31

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

46%

Fortaleza EC

2.18

22%

Internacional

4.55

Win to Nil

23%

Fortaleza EC

4.26

3%

Internacional

28.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 7.9 3.1 0.8 0.2
1 15.3 11.9 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 11.6 9.0 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 5.8 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.515
λ Away (xG) 0.781
Total xG 2.296
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 0.901
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.142
Fortaleza EC defence strength 0.795
Internacional attack strength 1.091
Internacional defence strength 0.958
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40