Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

41%

Fortaleza EC

2.45

28%

Draw

3.51

31%

Gremio

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.26

1.03

Gremio xG

41%
28%
31%
Fortaleza ECDrawGremio

2.45

41%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.20

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

36%

Fortaleza EC

2.80

29%

Gremio

3.43

Win to Nil

15%

Fortaleza EC

6.86

9%

Gremio

11.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 10.7 5.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.8 13.2 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.9 8.1 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.232
λ Away (xG) 1.029
Total xG 2.261
League avg home goals 1.379
League avg away goals 0.974
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.766
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.125
Gremio attack strength 0.938
Gremio defence strength 1.166
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 70