Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Mon 26 May 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

55%

Fortaleza EC

1.83

28%

Draw

3.54

17%

Cruzeiro

5.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.37

0.79

Cruzeiro xG

55%
28%
17%
Fortaleza ECDrawCruzeiro

1.83

55%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

5.83

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

45%

Fortaleza EC

2.20

21%

Cruzeiro

4.85

Win to Nil

25%

Fortaleza EC

4.04

4%

Cruzeiro

28.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 7.4 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 14.8 11.7 4.6 1.2 0.2
2 11.7 9.2 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 6.1 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.578
λ Away (xG) 0.790
Total xG 2.368
League avg home goals 1.348
League avg away goals 0.839
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.193
Fortaleza EC defence strength 0.811
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.161
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.982
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47