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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Wed 3 Dec 2025

22:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

43%

Fortaleza EC

2.35

29%

Draw

3.46

29%

Corinthians

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.18

0.95

Corinthians xG

43%
29%
29%
Fortaleza ECDrawCorinthians

2.35

43%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.30

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

39%

Fortaleza EC

2.59

29%

Corinthians

3.42

Win to Nil

16%

Fortaleza EC

6.10

8%

Corinthians

11.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 10.7 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.9 13.2 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.1 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.231
λ Away (xG) 0.953
Total xG 2.184
League avg home goals 1.483
League avg away goals 1.010
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.777
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.089
Corinthians attack strength 0.867
Corinthians defence strength 1.069
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74