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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Mon 14 Jul 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

54%

Fortaleza EC

1.85

25%

Draw

3.94

21%

Ceara

4.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.69

0.97

Ceara xG

54%
25%
21%
Fortaleza ECDrawCeara

1.85

54%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

4.84

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

38%

Fortaleza EC

2.65

18%

Ceara

5.54

Win to Nil

20%

Fortaleza EC

4.91

4%

Ceara

26.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.6 3.2 1.0 0.3
1 11.7 11.4 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.7 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.7 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.712
λ Away (xG) 0.974
Total xG 2.686
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 0.932
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.139
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.146
Ceara attack strength 0.912
Ceara defence strength 1.186
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 11