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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

31%

Fortaleza EC

3.22

34%

Draw

2.96

35%

Botafogo

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.3%

Away win

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

1.83

0.95

Botafogo xG

31%
34%
35%
Fortaleza ECDrawBotafogo

3.22

31%

Home win

2.96

34%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

39%

Fortaleza EC

2.59

42%

Botafogo

2.40

Win to Nil

12%

Fortaleza EC

8.36

15%

Botafogo

6.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1 15.3 7.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 14.1 13.4 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 6.2 5.9 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.875
λ Away (xG) 0.952
Total xG 1.827
League avg home goals 1.288
League avg away goals 0.965
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.103
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.090
Botafogo attack strength 0.905
Botafogo defence strength 0.616
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 54