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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

56%

Fluminense

1.80

31%

Draw

3.26

14%

Sport Recife

7.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.19

0.67

Sport Recife xG

56%
31%
14%
FluminenseDrawSport Recife

1.80

56%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

7.33

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

51%

Fluminense

1.95

22%

Sport Recife

4.61

Win to Nil

29%

Fluminense

3.50

3%

Sport Recife

33.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 7.4 2.5 0.5 0.1
1 17.0 11.3 3.8 0.8 0.1
2 13.0 8.7 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 6.6 4.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.529
λ Away (xG) 0.666
Total xG 2.195
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 0.871
Fluminense attack strength 0.922
Fluminense defence strength 0.913
Sport Recife attack strength 0.837
Sport Recife defence strength 1.184
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 6