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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 27 Nov 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

56%

Fluminense

1.79

27%

Draw

3.66

17%

Sao Paulo

5.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 0

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.05

0.64

Sao Paulo xG

56%
27%
17%
FluminenseDrawSao Paulo

1.79

56%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

5.97

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.80

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

53%

Fluminense

1.89

24%

Sao Paulo

4.12

Win to Nil

30%

Fluminense

3.38

4%

Sao Paulo

24.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8 8.2 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 18.2 11.6 3.7 0.8 0.1
2 12.9 8.2 2.6 0.6 0.1
3 6.1 3.9 1.2 0.3
4 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.416
λ Away (xG) 0.638
Total xG 2.054
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.014
Fluminense attack strength 0.970
Fluminense defence strength 0.677
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.929
Sao Paulo defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73