Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Wed 23 Jul 2025

23:00

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

32%

Fluminense

3.08

29%

Draw

3.48

39%

Palmeiras

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.24

1.18

Palmeiras xG

32%
29%
39%
FluminenseDrawPalmeiras

3.08

32%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

31%

Fluminense

3.27

35%

Palmeiras

2.88

Win to Nil

10%

Fluminense

10.07

13%

Palmeiras

7.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 12.6 7.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.2 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.9 7.0 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.1 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.057
λ Away (xG) 1.184
Total xG 2.241
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 0.878
Fluminense attack strength 0.950
Fluminense defence strength 1.111
Palmeiras attack strength 1.214
Palmeiras defence strength 0.870
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51