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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Thu 6 Nov 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

52%

Fluminense

1.93

28%

Draw

3.55

20%

Mirassol

4.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.08

0.73

Mirassol xG

52%
28%
20%
FluminenseDrawMirassol

1.93

52%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

4.98

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.61

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

48%

Fluminense

2.07

26%

Mirassol

3.87

Win to Nil

25%

Fluminense

3.99

5%

Mirassol

19.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 9.1 3.3 0.8 0.1
1 16.9 12.3 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 11.4 8.3 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 5.2 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.352
λ Away (xG) 0.726
Total xG 2.078
League avg home goals 1.415
League avg away goals 0.945
Fluminense attack strength 0.948
Fluminense defence strength 0.732
Mirassol attack strength 1.049
Mirassol defence strength 1.008
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31