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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

01:00

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

46%

Fluminense

2.16

27%

Draw

3.67

26%

Gremio

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.46

1.02

Gremio xG

46%
27%
26%
FluminenseDrawGremio

2.16

46%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

36%

Fluminense

2.78

24%

Gremio

4.22

Win to Nil

17%

Fluminense

6.00

6%

Gremio

15.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 8.7 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.3 12.6 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.0 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.439
λ Away (xG) 1.022
Total xG 2.461
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 0.929
Fluminense attack strength 0.944
Fluminense defence strength 1.161
Gremio attack strength 0.948
Gremio defence strength 1.198
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 54