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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Thu 5 Dec 2024

23:00

Venue

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

42%

Fluminense

2.41

38%

Draw

2.66

21%

Cuiaba

4.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

20.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

20.0%

Home win

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Fluminense xG

Total xG

1.58

0.61

Cuiaba xG

42%
38%
21%
FluminenseDrawCuiaba

2.41

42%

Home win

2.66

38%

Draw

4.80

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

47%

Over 1.5

2.13

53%

Under 1.5

1.89

21%

Over 2.5

4.76

79%

Under 2.5

1.27

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

30%

BTTS Yes

3.35

70%

BTTS No

1.43

Clean Sheet

54%

Fluminense

1.84

38%

Cuiaba

2.65

Win to Nil

23%

Fluminense

4.42

8%

Cuiaba

12.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.6 12.5 3.8 0.8 0.1
1 20.0 12.2 3.7 0.8 0.1
2 9.7 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 0.8 0.5 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.973
λ Away (xG) 0.609
Total xG 1.582
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.049
Fluminense attack strength 0.829
Fluminense defence strength 0.868
Cuiaba attack strength 0.668
Cuiaba defence strength 0.876
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74