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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Wed 29 Oct 2025

22:00

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

50%

Fluminense

2.01

32%

Draw

3.17

19%

Ceara

5.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

20.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

17.6%

Draw

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Fluminense xG

Total xG

1.74

0.58

Ceara xG

50%
32%
19%
FluminenseDrawCeara

2.01

50%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

5.38

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

52%

Over 1.5

1.92

48%

Under 1.5

2.08

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

30%

BTTS Yes

3.31

70%

BTTS No

1.43

Clean Sheet

56%

Fluminense

1.79

31%

Ceara

3.18

Win to Nil

28%

Fluminense

3.59

6%

Ceara

17.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.6 10.2 3.0 0.6 0.1
1 20.3 11.8 3.4 0.7 0.1
2 11.8 6.8 2.0 0.4 0.1
3 4.5 2.6 0.8 0.1
4 1.3 0.8 0.2
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.156
λ Away (xG) 0.582
Total xG 1.738
League avg home goals 1.423
League avg away goals 0.976
Fluminense attack strength 0.937
Fluminense defence strength 0.754
Ceara attack strength 0.792
Ceara defence strength 0.866
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29