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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

22%

Fluminense

4.46

30%

Draw

3.39

48%

Botafogo

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.76

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.01

1.25

Botafogo xG

22%
30%
48%
FluminenseDrawBotafogo

4.46

22%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

29%

Fluminense

3.49

47%

Botafogo

2.13

Win to Nil

6%

Fluminense

15.58

23%

Botafogo

4.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 16.8 10.5 4.4 1.4 0.3
1 10.2 12.7 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 3.8 4.8 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.755
λ Away (xG) 1.251
Total xG 2.006
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.055
Fluminense attack strength 0.835
Fluminense defence strength 0.998
Botafogo attack strength 1.189
Botafogo defence strength 0.656
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 62