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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Tue 26 Aug 2025

01:00

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

64%

Flamengo

1.57

25%

Draw

3.97

11%

Vitoria

9.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

20.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

15.9%

Home win

0 – 0

13.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Flamengo xG

Total xG

1.99

0.47

Vitoria xG

64%
25%
FlamengoDrawVitoria

1.57

64%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

9.07

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

29%

BTTS Yes

3.43

71%

BTTS No

1.41

Clean Sheet

63%

Flamengo

1.59

22%

Vitoria

4.61

Win to Nil

40%

Flamengo

2.49

2%

Vitoria

41.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6 6.3 1.5 0.2
1 20.8 9.7 2.3 0.3
2 15.9 7.4 1.7 0.3
3 8.1 3.8 0.9 0.1
4 3.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.529
λ Away (xG) 0.465
Total xG 1.994
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.112
Flamengo attack strength 1.282
Flamengo defence strength 0.599
Vitoria attack strength 0.698
Vitoria defence strength 0.922
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 58