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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

21:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

70%

Flamengo

1.43

17%

Draw

5.89

13%

Vasco DA Gama

7.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

3 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.48

Flamengo xG

Total xG

3.47

0.99

Vasco DA Gama xG

70%
17%
13%
FlamengoDrawVasco DA Gama

1.43

70%

Home win

5.89

17%

Draw

7.55

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

37%

Flamengo

2.70

8%

Vasco DA Gama

11.91

Win to Nil

26%

Flamengo

3.87

1%

Vasco DA Gama

89.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.7 7.7 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 9.5 9.5 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.9 7.8 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 4.9 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.477
λ Away (xG) 0.994
Total xG 3.471
League avg home goals 1.359
League avg away goals 1.095
Flamengo attack strength 1.544
Flamengo defence strength 0.651
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.395
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.180
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60