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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

56%

Flamengo

1.80

25%

Draw

4.00

19%

Palmeiras

5.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Flamengo xG

Total xG

2.43

0.83

Palmeiras xG

56%
25%
19%
FlamengoDrawPalmeiras

1.80

56%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

5.18

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

44%

Flamengo

2.29

20%

Palmeiras

4.96

Win to Nil

24%

Flamengo

4.11

4%

Palmeiras

25.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 7.3 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 14.1 11.7 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.4 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 6.0 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.602
λ Away (xG) 0.828
Total xG 2.430
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.011
Flamengo attack strength 1.267
Flamengo defence strength 0.667
Palmeiras attack strength 1.228
Palmeiras defence strength 0.880
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65