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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

59%

Flamengo

1.69

27%

Draw

3.74

14%

Mirassol

7.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.9%

Home win

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Flamengo xG

Total xG

2.12

0.60

Mirassol xG

59%
27%
14%
FlamengoDrawMirassol

1.69

59%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

7.15

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.79

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

55%

Flamengo

1.82

22%

Mirassol

4.59

Win to Nil

33%

Flamengo

3.08

3%

Mirassol

32.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 7.2 2.2 0.4 0.1
1 18.2 10.9 3.3 0.7 0.1
2 13.9 8.3 2.5 0.5 0.1
3 7.0 4.2 1.3 0.3
4 2.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.523
λ Away (xG) 0.600
Total xG 2.123
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 0.952
Flamengo attack strength 1.301
Flamengo defence strength 0.591
Mirassol attack strength 1.067
Mirassol defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 16