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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Thu 17 Apr 2025

01:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

49%

Flamengo

2.04

30%

Draw

3.30

21%

Juventude

4.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Flamengo xG

Total xG

2.53

0.96

Juventude xG

49%
30%
21%
FlamengoDrawJuventude

2.04

49%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

4.82

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

38%

Flamengo

2.62

21%

Juventude

4.80

Win to Nil

19%

Flamengo

5.34

4%

Juventude

23.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 7.7 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.5 12.0 5.8 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.4 4.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 5.1 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.568
λ Away (xG) 0.962
Total xG 2.530
League avg home goals 1.363
League avg away goals 0.953
Flamengo attack strength 1.039
Flamengo defence strength 1.058
Juventude attack strength 0.954
Juventude defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41