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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

77%

Flamengo

1.30

15%

Draw

6.58

8%

Gremio

12.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

3 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.42

Flamengo xG

Total xG

3.05

0.63

Gremio xG

77%
15%
FlamengoDrawGremio

1.30

77%

Home win

6.58

15%

Draw

12.92

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

53%

Flamengo

1.88

9%

Gremio

11.28

Win to Nil

41%

Flamengo

2.43

1%

Gremio

145.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.5 7.2 2.3 0.5 0.1
2 13.9 8.7 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 11.2 7.0 2.2 0.5 0.1
4 6.8 4.3 1.3 0.3
5 3.3 2.1 0.7 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.423
λ Away (xG) 0.629
Total xG 3.052
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.103
Flamengo attack strength 1.685
Flamengo defence strength 0.575
Gremio attack strength 0.992
Gremio defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58