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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 20 Jul 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

64%

Flamengo

1.56

22%

Draw

4.50

14%

Fluminense

7.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Flamengo xG

Total xG

2.51

0.70

Fluminense xG

64%
22%
14%
FlamengoDrawFluminense

1.56

64%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

7.27

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

50%

Flamengo

2.01

16%

Fluminense

6.14

Win to Nil

32%

Flamengo

3.15

2%

Fluminense

44.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.7 10.3 3.6 0.8 0.1
2 13.3 9.3 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 8.1 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 3.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.815
λ Away (xG) 0.700
Total xG 2.515
League avg home goals 1.285
League avg away goals 0.886
Flamengo attack strength 1.457
Flamengo defence strength 0.698
Fluminense attack strength 1.131
Fluminense defence strength 0.969
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 50