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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

54%

Flamengo

1.87

27%

Draw

3.65

19%

Cruzeiro

5.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Flamengo xG

Total xG

2.12

0.72

Cruzeiro xG

54%
27%
19%
FlamengoDrawCruzeiro

1.87

54%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

5.25

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

49%

Flamengo

2.05

25%

Cruzeiro

4.08

Win to Nil

26%

Flamengo

3.82

5%

Cruzeiro

21.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 8.6 3.1 0.7 0.1
1 16.8 12.1 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 11.8 8.5 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 5.5 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.406
λ Away (xG) 0.716
Total xG 2.122
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.031
Flamengo attack strength 1.410
Flamengo defence strength 0.686
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.011
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.735
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 63