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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

62%

Flamengo

1.61

25%

Draw

3.93

12%

Corinthians

8.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Flamengo xG

Total xG

2.90

0.86

Corinthians xG

62%
25%
12%
FlamengoDrawCorinthians

1.61

62%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

8.04

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

42%

Flamengo

2.37

13%

Corinthians

7.68

Win to Nil

26%

Flamengo

3.82

2%

Corinthians

61.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.2 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.3
2 11.4 9.9 4.3 1.2 0.3
3 7.8 6.7 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 4.0 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.039
λ Away (xG) 0.864
Total xG 2.903
League avg home goals 1.438
League avg away goals 0.883
Flamengo attack strength 1.392
Flamengo defence strength 0.966
Corinthians attack strength 1.014
Corinthians defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43