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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Thu 5 Dec 2024

00:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

31%

Cruzeiro

3.20

33%

Draw

2.99

35%

Palmeiras

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.12

1.10

Palmeiras xG

31%
33%
35%
CruzeiroDrawPalmeiras

3.20

31%

Home win

2.99

33%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

33%

Cruzeiro

3.00

36%

Palmeiras

2.77

Win to Nil

10%

Cruzeiro

9.60

13%

Palmeiras

7.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 13.2 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
1 12.3 13.5 7.4 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.2 6.9 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.019
λ Away (xG) 1.099
Total xG 2.118
League avg home goals 1.335
League avg away goals 1.045
Cruzeiro attack strength 0.910
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.892
Palmeiras attack strength 1.179
Palmeiras defence strength 0.839
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74