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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

21:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

53%

Cruzeiro

1.88

26%

Draw

3.87

21%

Mirassol

4.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.44

0.88

Mirassol xG

53%
26%
21%
CruzeiroDrawMirassol

1.88

53%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

4.75

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

41%

Cruzeiro

2.41

21%

Mirassol

4.75

Win to Nil

22%

Cruzeiro

4.54

4%

Mirassol

22.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 7.7 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 13.6 12.0 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.3 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 5.5 4.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.558
λ Away (xG) 0.880
Total xG 2.438
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.055
Cruzeiro attack strength 0.955
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.980
Mirassol attack strength 0.850
Mirassol defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0