Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Mon 14 Jul 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

56%

Cruzeiro

1.77

26%

Draw

3.81

17%

Gremio

5.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.40

0.79

Gremio xG

56%
26%
17%
CruzeiroDrawGremio

1.77

56%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

5.75

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

45%

Cruzeiro

2.20

20%

Gremio

5.03

Win to Nil

26%

Cruzeiro

3.90

3%

Gremio

28.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 7.1 2.8 0.7 0.1
1 14.6 11.5 4.5 1.2 0.2
2 11.8 9.3 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 6.4 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.6 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.616
λ Away (xG) 0.788
Total xG 2.404
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 0.932
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.126
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.821
Gremio attack strength 1.029
Gremio defence strength 1.132
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50