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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

61%

Cruzeiro

1.63

22%

Draw

4.50

16%

Fluminense

6.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.68

0.84

Fluminense xG

61%
22%
16%
CruzeiroDrawFluminense

1.63

61%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

6.06

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

43%

Cruzeiro

2.31

16%

Fluminense

6.34

Win to Nil

27%

Cruzeiro

3.77

3%

Fluminense

38.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.1
1 12.6 10.6 4.4 1.2 0.3
2 11.7 9.7 4.1 1.1 0.2
3 7.2 6.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
4 3.3 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.847
λ Away (xG) 0.836
Total xG 2.683
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 0.974
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.102
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.936
Fluminense attack strength 0.917
Fluminense defence strength 1.198
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70