Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

01:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

48%

Cruzeiro

2.10

29%

Draw

3.41

23%

Bahia

4.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

2.73

1.10

Bahia xG

48%
29%
23%
CruzeiroDrawBahia

2.10

48%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

4.33

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

33%

Cruzeiro

3.00

19%

Bahia

5.14

Win to Nil

16%

Cruzeiro

6.30

4%

Bahia

22.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.1 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.6 11.7 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.5 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 5.2 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.637
λ Away (xG) 1.097
Total xG 2.734
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 0.917
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.009
Cruzeiro defence strength 1.026
Bahia attack strength 1.166
Bahia defence strength 1.124
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41