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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

61%

Corinthians

1.64

27%

Draw

3.76

13%

Sport Recife

7.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.54

0.73

Sport Recife xG

61%
27%
13%
CorinthiansDrawSport Recife

1.64

61%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

7.96

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

48%

Corinthians

2.08

16%

Sport Recife

6.07

Win to Nil

29%

Corinthians

3.42

2%

Sport Recife

48.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 5.8 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.3 10.5 3.8 0.9 0.2
2 12.9 9.4 3.5 0.8 0.2
3 7.7 5.7 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.5 2.6 0.9 0.2
5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.803
λ Away (xG) 0.733
Total xG 2.536
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 0.901
Corinthians attack strength 1.096
Corinthians defence strength 1.043
Sport Recife attack strength 0.779
Sport Recife defence strength 1.127
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 4