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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Thu 20 Nov 2025

22:30

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

45%

Corinthians

2.24

30%

Draw

3.32

25%

Sao Paulo

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.00

0.81

Sao Paulo xG

45%
30%
25%
CorinthiansDrawSao Paulo

2.24

45%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

44%

Corinthians

2.25

31%

Sao Paulo

3.27

Win to Nil

20%

Corinthians

5.03

8%

Sao Paulo

13.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6 11.0 4.5 1.2 0.2
1 16.1 13.1 5.3 1.4 0.3
2 9.5 7.7 3.1 0.8 0.2
3 3.8 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.185
λ Away (xG) 0.810
Total xG 1.995
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.016
Corinthians attack strength 0.908
Corinthians defence strength 0.875
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.911
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71