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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

01:00

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

34%

Corinthians

2.95

28%

Draw

3.51

38%

Mirassol

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.28

1.18

Mirassol xG

34%
28%
38%
CorinthiansDrawMirassol

2.95

34%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

31%

Corinthians

3.25

33%

Mirassol

3.01

Win to Nil

10%

Corinthians

9.59

12%

Mirassol

8.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 12.0 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.3 13.3 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.2 7.3 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.103
λ Away (xG) 1.178
Total xG 2.281
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.001
Corinthians attack strength 0.874
Corinthians defence strength 1.096
Mirassol attack strength 1.074
Mirassol defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 25